by Diego Carmona

What moves your costs, your transit times and your cargo today.

THE DAY IN 30 SECONDS

🌍 REGULATION AND COMPLIANCE

CBAM price rises 9.4% to €82.32

The figure: €82.32 per tonne of CO2 for CBAM goods imported during the third quarter of 2026.

Why it matters: The price published by the Commission is €7.04 higher than in the second quarter, increasing the cost to be provisioned for embedded emissions in steel, aluminium, cement, fertilisers, hydrogen and electricity. Under DDP, the seller initially bears the cost; under DAP, CIF or CIP, it normally falls on the importer carrying out customs clearance. CBAM provisions for imports made between July and September will need to reflect the new price, alongside supplier emissions data.

What to watch: The fourth-quarter price will be published on 4 January 2027, and the calculation will move to a weekly basis from 2027.

Source

📊 FREIGHT RATES AND MARKET SIGNALS

Hapag-Lloyd seeks increases of up to $1,500 to North America

Hapag-Lloyd will apply a GRI/GRA from 1 November of $1,000 per container to the east and Gulf coasts of North America, and $1,500 to the west coast. It will apply to 20-foot and 40-foot dry, reefer and special containers delivered full from India, Pakistan and the Middle East.

Why it matters: This is an announced increase rather than evidence that the market will fully accept it. Under CIF, CFR, CIP or CPT, the seller contracts the main carriage and may pass the increase into the sales price; under FOB or FCA, freight is negotiated directly by the buyer. Freight quotations valid after 1 November will determine the effective impact, including the comparison between west-coast routings and east-coast routings with inland transport.

What to watch: Actual GRI acceptance and possible below-tariff offers during the second half of October.

Source

Air freight rises 2% despite a 4% fall in tonnage

The figure: Global rates rose 2% week on week and 27% year on year in week 39, while global capacity was unchanged.

Why it matters: Lower volumes are not translating into cheaper rates because supply remains constrained and adjustments vary widely by origin. The data does not support assuming an automatic post-holiday decline in Asian rates; airport-specific conditions and the separation of base rates, surcharges and priority services remain material.

What to watch: The recovery in bookings after China’s Golden Week, which ends on 7 October.

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⚓ PORTS AND CONGESTION

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